During a November 1992 visit to
Budapest, Russian President Boris Yeltsin handed to Hungarian President
Arpad Goncz a dossier of Soviet archival materials related to the 1956
Hungarian Revolution. The documents contained in the file, consisting
of 299 pages, have now been published in Hungarian translation in two
volumes,1 and also made available in Russian archives.2
For
Hungarians as well as for scholars worldwide, these materials have
tremendous significance—quite aside from their political import as a
Russian gesture toward creating a new relationship between Moscow and
Budapest after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Until the 1990s,
Soviet political history could be studied only with the sophisticated
analytical tools of Kremlinology and oral history. Now, however, at
least a minor, and perhaps a growing, portion of this history can be
analyzed using traditional historical methods.
Still,
one must acknowledge that although these materials answer many
questions posed by historians and the interested public over the years,
they have not radically altered the general picture of 1956; none of
the documents contains anything that could be called a sensation. The
Yeltsin dossier does, however, provide some new information, enhance
our understanding of several important aspects of the events, confirm
some earlier unverified assumptions or hypotheses, and help to clarify
a number of details. Certainly they are significantly more useful than
the previously published documentation in providing a window into the
minds of key Soviet officials, and insights into how they functioned,
in the midst of a serious crisis.
Since
the Soviet documents transferred by Yeltsin were chosen in an unclear
manner, in the absence of thorough research in and full access to the
Moscow archives there is no way of knowing whether the selection
contains the most important ones. The quantity is unquestionably
considerable—115 documents—as they cover events of only one-and-a-half
years, from April 1956 until July 1957, and also high-level, with the
majority originating from the top leadership, the Presidium of the
Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CC CPSU).
About one-fifth are resolutions passed by the party Presidium, and
about a third are reports, recommendations, and memoranda, made by the
members of the Presidium and the Secretariat; more than two-thirds of
the documents actually reached the Presidium. Close to 40 percent of
the Soviet documents emanated from the Foreign Ministry, and
three-fourths of these consist of reports from the Soviet embassy in
Budapest.
One
striking feature of the documents is that they hint at how
conspicuously concentrated power and decision-making were, especially
in some key areas, at the highest levels of the Soviet system during
the crisis. It is quite characteristic that a discussion between the
counselor of the Soviet embassy in Budapest and a vacationing head of
department of the Hungarian Communist Party appeared on the agenda of a
Presidium meeting in Moscow. (True, it was agenda item 32 only and
also, the head of department in question was a personal friend of
Kadar’s.)
Among
the Soviet documents are eight reports sent by the head of the KGB,
General Ivan Serov, to Presidium of the CPSU CC after the revolt
erupted on October 23, and 11 accounts on the crushing of the
Revolution and the fighting after the Soviet invasion on November 4
transmitted by the Minister of Defense, Marshal Gyorgi Zhukov. Perhaps
because of their urgency and because they were prepared for the
Presidium on short notice, they are very short.
This
review of the types of materials contained in the Yeltsin package
points, alas, to one of their shortcomings: the lack of documentation
of the process of decision-making at the highest level in Moscow. Two
basic features of the documents emerge when one seeks to use them to
decipher the Soviet political-military decision making process.
Usually, models of decision-making processes distinguish between senior
and junior actors: lower-level actors collect information, make
recommendations, prepare analyses, implement decisions, while authority
rests at the higher level, where decision-makers ostensibly have an
overview over often conflicting information and interests.3
The
1956 Soviet documents primarily concern the functioning of the higher
level (party presidium, secretariat, government), but rather one-
sidedly. Some 80 percent of the documents are inputs: primary, to a
large extent “unprocessed” information—local reports, analyses made on
the lower level or outside the decision-making mechanism. Consequently,
the direct mechanism of higher level decision-making cannot be
evaluated. The collections contain the major party Presidium
resolutions on Hungary, but these resolutions, unfortunately, are
merely authoritative instructions given to subordinate executive
organs. Not one document describes the discussions, participants,
contributors, and differences of opinion at the Presidium meetings.
Instead, one repeatedly encounters such euphemistic phraseology as “V
szootvetsztvii sz obmenom mnyenyijami”, “sz ucsotom obmena
mnyenyijami”, “na osznove szosztojascsevoszja obmena mnyenyijami” —“in
accordance with,” “in regard to,” and “based on” the discussion.4 Yet
we have no real data on debates, no minutes of the deliberations of the
top Soviet leaders.5
By
contrast, among the declassified U.S. government records on the
Hungarian crisis, both published and in archives, researchers readily
find numerous documents describing policy debates, including detailed
minutes of National Security Council discussions, as well as serious
analytical papers prepared by the NSC and various intelligence
agencies.6 Whether comparable documentation exists on the Soviet side,
but remains off-limits, or whether such items of Presidium transcripts
on the crisis do not exist, was not clarified in the materials
delivered by Yeltsin. In any event, the result is that the crucial
factors which determine top-level decision-making can be analyzed only
by inference.
An
additional problem is that the Soviet documents only treat the
Hungarian issue in a very narrow sense—the context of the international
situation makes but a dim appearence. Important issues like the Suez
crisis, U.S. behavior, the problems of the East-Central European
allies, barely receive mention.
Still,
while all these issues require further thorough research, even the
selected documents permit an illuminating exploration of the thinking,
terminology, priorities, and particular style of conduct between the
leadership of the Soviet empire and Moscow’s East European satellites
at this juncture of the Cold War, as well as of the Soviet style of
information gathering and crisis management. In “normal circumstances,”
the Soviet leadership gathered information on the satellites through
two inner official channels:
a.
The higher level, represented by the ambassador, whose scope of
authority included keeping in touch with top local party leaders. The
Soviet ambassador was at the same time the local representative of the
CPSU CC from the mid-’50s. Beside gathering information he occasionally
made recommendations too, and in crisis situations his reports reached
the party Presidium. Between 29 April 1956 and 14 October 1956 only
four out of Ambassador Andropov’s ten known reports got there. At the
end of September 1956, Andrei Gromyko, the deputy minister of foreign
affairs, had to summarize Andropov’s communications to the Presidium,
when the crisis was becoming apparent.7 Otherwise, Andropov prepared
his reports for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the “Department” of
the Central Committee (meaning the division responsible for contact
with the foreign Communist parties).8
b.
Other embassy personnel worked on the lower level, gathering
information on special areas of interest to the leadership and
maintaining personal contacts with other sources (primarily with party
figures who had been in Moscow but were not part of the top
leadership), and their reports usually reached the medium level only.
In
crisis situations intelligence was elevated to a special level, and on
such occasions the party Presidium sent its own members as
plenipotentiary envoys to the place of crisis to conduct personal
inspections, assessments, and, on occasion, negotiations. Usually they
attempted to maintain secrecy. The envoys contacted local leaders first
and collected information. Then they made recommendations for decision
to Moscow and sometimes had the right to take local action, evidently
on the basis of consultation with the center. Four such extraordinary
delegations visited Hungary between the summer of 1956 and the end of
that year: 1. Mikhail Suslov, 7-14 June 1956 (1 report); 2. Anastas
Mikoyan, 13-21 July 1956 (6 reports); 3. Mikoyan, Suslov, Serov, and
Gen. Mikhail Malinin (Deputy Chief of Staff of the Soviet Army, who
might have arrived earlier), 24-31 October 1956 (10 reports); 4.
Suslov, Boris Aristov, Georgi Malenkov and Serov (who was probably on
location continuously from October 24), and Marshal I.S. Koniev
(Commander-in-Chief of the Warsaw Pact, who commanded the invasion
force from November 1) (11 reports).
These
are the most important of the Soviet documents: 28 reports in which the
members of the party’s top leadership or their “special subordinates”
observe, analyze, act, and negotiate. True, they did so “only” in
Budapest, but at least they are shown in action. Moreover, some key
aspects of the second and third missions can be cross-checked with the
wealth of Hungarian party and state documents released in recent years.9
The
normal and extraordinary political decision-making levels of the party
leadership received supplementary information from other parts of the
intertwined party-state organs, most importantly autonomous organs of
force such as the army and KGB.
The
reports of the extraordinary level contain numerous errors, mistakes,
and faults, especially during and immediately after the Revolution.
Persons and locations cropped up which remained in obscurity for the
Soviet leaders. They received the biased and/or panic stricken
information above all on street atrocities written by the usual
Hungarian informants, especially Hungarian state security officers.10
On the other hand the Soviets also manipulated the news, Andropov,
Serov, and Zhukov in particular. The last-named, for example, made no
distinction between the fighting civilian insurgents and the Hungarian
army—which never fought in mass—when describing resistance to the
second Soviet intervention after November 4. This exaggeration of the
true proportions of resistance was used to justify the immense scale of
the Soviet intervention.
Thus,
the Soviet documents must be handled with great circumspection as far
as facts are concerned. Contemporary readers will be astounded by the
raw, coarse nature of the reports, which were frequently written in
primitive party jargon. Hardly camouflaged orders and instructions are
confusingly intermingled with niceties, “comradely” good advice, and
partylike statements. Mikoyan obviously differed in this sense from
Malenkov and Serov, not to mention Andropov. One finds hardly any trace
of contrary opinions from the Hungarian side concerning important
questions, with the exception of Imre Nagy during the Revolution. While
differing Hungarian views were noted in the phase of Soviet information
gathering, once decisons were taken Moscow’s representatives paid
little attention to them.
The
above caveats and limitations notwithstanding, the following
observations can be offered regarding Soviet decisions and the
Hungarian Revolution, based on the documents provided by Yeltsin:
-
Since the summer of 1956, as the anti-Stalinist opposition gained
strength, the Soviet leadership observed the Hungarian crisis with
great worry. They saw the solution to the crisis in leadership changes
(Rakosi’s dismissal) and reserved forceful oppressive measures as a
last resort only. In July 1956, Soviet representative Mikoyan reported
that “as a result of the Hungarian situation there is an atmosphere of
uneasiness prevailing in our Central Committee and in the ranks of the
Socialist camp, which is due to the fact, that it cannot be permitted
for something unexpected, unpleasant to happen in Hungary. If the
Hungarian comrades need it, our Central Committee is ready to give them
a helping hand by giving advice or else, in order to put things
right.”11
- Although the Soviet leaders received
serious signals about the further exacerbation of tensions in Hungary,
they were distracted by crises in other locations (Poland, Suez).
Evidently, in assessing the Hungarian situation, they did not think in
terms of social movements, but only in the context of more or less
narrow political factions (party leadership vs. enemy/opposition). A
Political Committee, authorized on the highest level, was functioning
in Budapest, and it was expected to “resist” any threat to communist
rule. Khrushchev’s comments on the Hungarian events at the October 24
Presidium meeting in Moscow reflect this attitude. The day before,
there had been a mass demonstration of hundreds of thousands in the
streets of Budapest and an armed uprising had broken out. But
Khrushchev said he “does not understand what comrade Gero, comrade
Hegedus and the others are doing.”12
- The first
extraordinary Soviet on-site report during the decisive stage of the
crisis gave a remarkably optimistic evaluation of the situation,
judging that the size of the October 23 demonstration and the armed
uprising which erupted that night had been “overestimated” by the
Hungarians. In Moscow, where attention was still focused on resolving
the Polish party crisis, the situation initially appeared manageable.
It was obvious from the Mikoyan group’s report that Erno Gero, the
Stalinist Hungarian party leader, was at odds with the reformer Imre
Nagy, who had been recently included in the leadership. Yet on October
24, Khruschev informed the leaders of other Warsaw Pact allies in
Eastern Europe that there was a “total unity of opinion” within the
Hungarian leadership.13
- The Soviets looked upon
the Hungarian leadership, especially Imre Nagy, with distrust from the
very beginning of the crisis. The Hungarian party leaders simply did
not wait for Moscow when they reshuffled personnel on October 23, even
though there was an expressed demand for this. This is how Imre Nagy
became prime minister. Later, party leader Gero was dismissed by the
Soviets, but the new government list was compiled by the Nagy group,
although Suslov and Mikoyan were present. The Soviets demanded
adherence to the “norms of the empire” even in crisis situations.
-
The Soviet documents suggest that October 26 was a turning point. On
one hand, this is when Imre Nagy’s policy of searching for a political
solution was formulated. Earlier, it was thought that Nagy “hesitated”
right until October 28, when he declared the armistice. He decided that
a new political, conciliatory line was needed by October 26. He gained
support for this from popular pressure coming from below and the
actions of the party opposition. This change was supported by Kadar
with some reservations.14
- Mikoyan and Suslov
recommended that the Presidium accept the Imre Nagy line. Instead of
military measures, they thought that concessions were needed to “win
over the workers’ masses” and approved reshuffling the government by
including “a certain number of petty bourgois democrat” ministers
(meaning persons from the previous coalition parties). The only thing
they reported on the Hungarian leadership was that the “majority” of it
was solid and “non-capitulationist.” However, they reported on “Imre
Nagy’s vacillations who because of his opportunistic nature doesn’t
know where to stop in giving concessions.”15
Although
there is no direct evidence for this conclusion, it is conceivable that
this analysis might have triggered the preparations in Moscow for a
second military intervention. A final, unambiguous political decision
however, could hardly have been made by this point. Yet, Mikoyan
signaled the limits of compromise: “From our part we warned them that
no further concessions can be made, otherwise it will lead to the fall
of the system...the withdrawal of Soviet army will lead inevitably to
the American troops marching in. Just like earlier we still think it
possible that the Soviet soldiers will return to their bases shortly
after law and order will have been restored.”16
7.
The Soviets’ short-term interest was to quell the exceedingly tense
Hungarian situation. So long as they saw a hope for this, they
countenanced political concessions which were earlier considered to be
serious right wing deviations. Perhaps they feared unintended or
unclear consequences of an outright invasion, or an escalation of
fighting that might lead to the involvement of American troops. On
October 28, the Soviets agreed to an armistice and the withdrawal of
their military units from Budapest without the military elimination of
the centers of armed insurgents. They accepted a sentence in Imre
Nagy’s draft program which proposed negotiations for the later
withdrawal of Soviet troops, contingent upon “the Soviet Union’s
exclusive decision.”17 Yet, no far-reaching formal agreement was
concluded with Imre Nagy. At the most, there was an informal accord
along the lines of the October 26 “principles.” There was no mention in
them about a multi- party system (only the inclusion of politicians
from other parties in the government), no mention about the troop
withdrawal or about Hungary’s renunciation of the Warsaw Pact.
8.
The Soviet Union’s readiness for compromise was related to long-term
interests as well. After 1945, and particularly after the outbreak of
Cold War tensions, it was Moscow’s fundamental interest to have
politically and militarily loyal and stable leaderships in the
neighboring countries. The limits of these alignments were sometimes
wider, sometimes tighter. In 1956, at the time of de-Stalinization,
they momentarily seemed to expand. The Soviets saw their long-range
interests secured in three institutions: First, an undivided, potent
Communist party leadership or other political centre; second, a strong
and firm state security service; and third, a loyal and disciplined
military leadership. The shaking of even one of the three could provoke
Soviet political meddling, and if the symptoms appeared simultaneously
this could produce Moscow’s radical military intervention. The October
26-28 compromise did not directly contradict Moscow’s long- range
interests (only the initiation of negotiations was mentioned rather
than actual Soviet troop withdrawal), which could momentarily reinforce
structures in charge of securing Soviet interests (especially the most
important one from the Soviet perspective, the party leadership).
9.
Nagy probably well understood this. But he could not and did not want
to think entirely in the terms of the neighboring superpower. Thus he
tried to consolidate the aforementioned institutions on the basis of
popular demands, but the pressure of the revolutionary masses and his
own personality made him transgress this boundary. On October 29 and 30
the Soviet envoys saw a Hungarian party leadership which appeared to be
falling apart and losing control of events. The other functioning
center, the government, did not interest them. Nagy had a key position
there and he was not trusted unconditionally, and the inclusion (on
October 27) of “petty bourgeois elements” (i.e., a multiparty
coalition) in the government only strengthened this impression.18
Though
popular demands and sentiments were of basic interest for Nagy, they
did not fit into the thinking of the empire. On October 29 and 30, the
reports of Moscow’s observers implied the collapse of the institutional
system in Hungary vital to Soviet interests.19 Simultaneously, the
outbreak of the Suez war and the fact that the Americans gave clear
signals of non- intervention20 gave the preparation of a second
intervention an external green light. On October 30, the Mikoyan group
explicitly referred to a political and military decision to be taken
soon, in relation to which “comrade Konev”—the Soviet Marshal who
commanded the Warsaw Pact unified forces—“will have to proceed to
Hungary without delay.”21 The following day Mikoyan and Suslov returned
to Moscow.
10.
The Moscow evaluation is shown clearly by the CPSU CC Presidium’s
telegram to the Italian communist party leader, Palmiro Togliatti, on
October 31: “We agree with your assessment that the Hungarian situation
is moving towards a reactionary direction. We are informed that Nagy is
playing a double game and is under the increasing influence of
reactionary forces. For the time being we shall not make an open move
against Nagy, but the reactionary turn will not receive our
acquiescence.”22
11.
Although the CPSU CC Presidium’s resolutions are very terse, the
three-fold method of implementing the basic political decision is
clearly outlined.23 Military measures were above all Zhukov’s
responsibility, and then the task of Marshal Konev, who came to Hungary
after November 1. International preparation, such as informing the
allies was undertaken by Khrushchev himself, as well as by Malenkov and
Molotov (the details of these consultations, including the negotiations
with the Chinese in Moscow, with the Poles in Brest, and with Tito in
Brioni, are available24).
And
finally, the establishment of a new political center in Hungary
required the most participants. Four members of the Secretariat began
to draft and assemble the necessary documents on October 31, most
importantly, a declaration of the new Hungarian government (prepared in
Moscow).25 Only Brezhnev remained of this team at the November 1
meeting of the Presidium, but there is a mention of Serov, who stayed
in Budapest.26 It was his job (along with Andropov) to secure the
personnel for the new local political center and to deliver the key
people to Moscow. The key person was Janos Kadar, but this is an
entirely different story. 1. The following two volumes published the
Soviet documents related to 1956: Eva Gal, Andras B. Hegedus, Gyorgy
Litvan, and Janos M. Rainer, eds., A “Jelcin dosszie.” Szovjet
dokumentumok 1956-rol. (Budapest: Szazadveg Kiado-1956-os Intezet,
1993). [“The Yeltsin Dossier”. Soviet documents on 1956; hereafter: The
Yeltsin Dossier]; and Vjacseszlav Szereda and Alekszandr Sztikalin,
eds., Hianyzo lapok 1956 tortenetebol: Dokumentumok a volt SZKP KB
Leveltarabol (Budapest: Mora Ferenc Konyvkiado, 1993). (Zenit konyvek)
[Missing pages from the history of 1956. Documents from the archives of
the old Central Committee of the Communist Party; hereafter: Missing
pages]. See also Janos M. Rainer, “1956—The Other Side of the Story.
Five Documents From the Yeltsin File,” The Hungarian Quarterly 34:129
(Spring 1993), 100-114. The Bulletin thanks Rainer for granting
permission to draw on that article.
For
further information on new publications and sources related to the
events in question, contact the Institute for the History of the 1956
Hungarian Revolution, which publishes an annual compendium/yearbook
(1956: Evkonyv) and serves as a center for scholarly research
activities in Budapest:
As 1956-os Magyar Forradalom
Tortenetenek Dokumentacios es Kutatointezete
H-1074 Budapest, Dohany u. 74.
Hungary
Tel.: 322-3620, 322-4026, 322-5228
Fax:
322-3084 2. [Ed. note: See documents in Fond 89 in the Tsentr Khranenia
Sovremennoi Dokumentatsii (TsKhSD) [Center for the Preservation of
Contemporary Documents] and Fund 059a in the Arkhiv Vneshnei Politiki
Rossiiskoi Federatsii (AVP RF) [Archive of Foreign Policy of the
Russian Federation] in Moscow.] 3. Arthur J. Alexander, “Modeling
Soviet Decisionmaking,” in Jiri Valenta and William Potter, eds.,
Soviet Decisionmaking for National Security (London: Allen & Unwin,
1984), 9-22. 4. E.g., the 31 October 1956 Resolution of the CC CPSU,
document no. II/12., The Yeltsin Dossier, 70, 72. 5. Based on the
experience and documents of the Hungarian leadership it is possible
that records like minutes were not made. According to Soviet experts,
the head of Department of the General Department of the CC CPSU
prepared short summaries about the participants, contributors and the
opinion voiced at Presidium meetings. 6. For a representative
collection of declassified U.S. government documents on the 1956
crisis, see U.S. Department of State, Foreign Relations of the United
States (FRUS), 1955-1957, vol. 25, Eastern Europe (Washington, DC:
Government Printing Office, 1990), esp. 259-581. 7. Gromyko summary of
17 September 1956, attached to CPSU CC protocol P43 of 27 September
1956, The Yeltsin Dossier, 42-44. 8. Missing pages, 28-29, n. 7. 9.
From the time of the second mission, see Mikoyan’s speech at the
meeting of the Hungarian Workers’ Party (HWP) Central Committee, 18
July 1956. Magyar Orszagos Leveltar (Hungarian National Archives - Mol)
MDP- MSZMP Iratok Gyujtemenye (Collection of Papers of the HWP and the
HSWP) 276/52/35 o.e. pp. 17-28; and Mikoyan’s report, 18 July 1956,
Missing pages, 59-65. From the time of the third mission see the
records of the October 26 meeting of the HWP Central Committee
(excerpt) and the record of the October 27-28 meeting of the HWP
Political Committee, “From the documents of the leading organs of the
party and the government 23 October 1956-4 November 1956,” published by
Ferenc Glatz, Historia 4-5 (1989), 32-40. Mikoyan and Suslov were not
present at the Central Committee meeting, but reported about it. See
Mikoyan to CC CPSU, n.d., and Mikoyan and Suslov to CC CPSU, 26 October
1956, Missing pages, 106-113. Mikoyan took part in the Political
Committee meeting, but there are no such documents among those we
received. 10. See, e.g., Serov’s reports of 28 and 29 October 1956, The
Yeltsin Dossier, 54-55, 62-64, or the discussion of lieutenant-colonel
Strarovtoi with AV (State Security) Major Vig, report dated 31 October
1956, The Yeltsin Dossier, 76-81. 11. See Mikoyan to CC CPSU, 14 July
1956, Missing pages, 40. 12. The 24 October 1956 Moscow meeting,
published by Tibor Hajdu in Az 1956-os Magyar Forradalom Tortenetenek
Akademiai Dokumentacios es Kutatointezete Evkonyv I. 1992. [The
Yearbook of the Documentation and History Institute of the 1956
Hungarian Revolution] (Budapest: 1956-os Intezet, 1992), 153. [Ed.
note: See the English translation by Mark Kramer in this issue of the
CWIHP Bulletin.] 13. The 24 October 1956 Moscow meeting, ibid., 155.
14. Mikoyan-Suslov to CC CPSU, 26 October 1956, Missing pages, 109-
110. 15. Ibid., 112-13. 16. Ibid., 112. 17. Historia 4-5 (1989), 37.
18. Mikoyan-Suslov report, 29 October 1956, The Yeltsin Dossier, 60-61;
Mikoyan-Suslov report, 30 October 1956, Missing pages, 125-126. 19.
Serov to Mikoyan and Suslov, 29 October 1956, The Yeltsin Dossier,
62-64. 20. See telegram from State Department to U.S. Embassy in
Moscow, 29 October 1956, FRUS, 1955-57, vol 25, 328. 21. Mikoyan-Suslov
report, 30 October 1956, Missing pages, 126. 22. Telegram to Soviet
ambassador in Rome for Togliatti, 31 October 1956, The Yeltsin Dossier,
69. 23. 31 October 1956 resolution, CC CPSU, The Yeltsin Dossier, 70,
72. 24. See Janos Tischler, “Reports by the Polish Ambassador and the
telegrams to the Polish Embassy in Budapest during the 1956 Hungarian
Revolution,” in Tortenelmi Szemle 10 (1992), 73; Khrushchev Remembers,
trans. and ed. by Strobe Talbott (Boston: Little, Brown, 1970), 461-64;
see also Veljko Micunovic, Tito kovete voltam, Moszkva 1956-58 [I was
Tito’s Ambassador. Moscow, 1956-1958] (Budapest: Interart, 1990),
128-37. 25. Kadar government declaration, 4 November 1956, The Yeltsin
Dossier, 87-93, esp. editor’s note on 92-93. 26. CPSU CC resolution,
protocol P50/I, 1 November 1956, The Yeltsin Dossier, 76
CWIHP Bulletin, Issue 5, Spring 1995. pp. 22-27.
Copyright © 2000 The Institute for the History of the 1956 Hungarian Revolution